283 lines
20 KiB
JavaScript
283 lines
20 KiB
JavaScript
#!/usr/bin/env node
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/**
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* verify-claims — re-derives every headline number in the README straight
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* from the JSON artifacts in bench/, with the same integrity rules the harness
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* enforces (case-insensitive flag match, fabrication rejection, canary check).
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*
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* SCOPE — read this honestly: this is a REPRODUCIBILITY / REGRESSION check of our
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* OWN committed artifacts, NOT a third-party audit. It confirms the headline
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* numbers match the JSON we shipped; it does NOT independently re-run the harness
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* or re-grade transcripts. To audit independently, re-run the harness from scratch
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* on fresh containers and re-grade the solves yourself. Exit 0 = artifacts and
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* headlines are internally consistent.
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*
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* Usage: node scripts/verify-claims.mjs
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*/
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import fs from 'node:fs';
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import path from 'node:path';
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import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
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import { suiteFromDirs, suiteReport, fmtReport } from './passk.mjs';
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import { loadSamples, scoreSample, scoreFinding } from './cve-zero-hunt.mjs';
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import { SPLIT } from './cve-zero-split.mjs';
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import { verifyCommitted as verifyModelMatrix } from './model-matrix.mjs';
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const REPO = path.resolve(path.dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url)), '..');
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const R = (...p) => path.join(REPO, ...p);
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const glob = (dir, re) => fs.existsSync(dir) ? fs.readdirSync(dir).filter(f => re.test(f)).map(f => path.join(dir, f)) : [];
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let pass = 0, fail = 0;
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const check = (label, cond, detail) => {
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(cond ? (pass++, console.log(` ✅ ${label}${detail ? ` — ${detail}` : ''}`))
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: (fail++, console.log(` ❌ ${label}${detail ? ` — ${detail}` : ''}`)));
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};
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// The harness's own fabrication filter — a flag must not be an invented placeholder.
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function looksFabricated(flag) {
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if (!flag) return false;
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const inner = (String(flag).match(/\{([\s\S]*)\}/) || [, ''])[1].toLowerCase()
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.replace(/4/g, 'a').replace(/3/g, 'e').replace(/0/g, 'o').replace(/1/g, 'i').replace(/5/g, 's').replace(/7/g, 't');
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return /\b(fake|placeholder|dummy|redacted|todo|tbd)\b|fake_?flag|for_?test|_?test(ing)?_?(flag|local|stub|only)|local_?test|real_[a-z]+_proof|proof_?xyz|sample_?flag|your_?flag_?here|example_?flag|replace_?me|flag_?here/.test(inner);
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}
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const ciMatch = (a, b) => !!a && !!b && String(a).trim().toLowerCase() === String(b).trim().toLowerCase();
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console.log('\n════════ T3MP3ST — claim verification (from artifacts) ════════\n');
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const matrixVerification = verifyModelMatrix();
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check('model/harness matrix re-derives from committed source artifacts',
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matrixVerification.ok,
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`${matrixVerification.report.rows.length} models × ${matrixVerification.report.corpus_size} identical tasks`);
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// ── CLAIM 1: XBEN black-box pass@1 FLOOR 91/104, 0 canary, vs XBOW's 85% ──────
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// Headline is best-ball 96/104 (pass@k union, labeled in the docs); this re-derives
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// the conservative single-run pass@1 floor from the committed golden artifacts.
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console.log('CLAIM 1 — XBEN (XBOW\'s own 104-suite): black-box pass@1 floor 91/104 = 87.5% (gpt-5.5, default effort, one uniform sweep), 0 canary');
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let xSolved = 0, xCanary = 0, xFabricated = 0, xTotal = 0, xReDerived = 0, xWithTool = 0;
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for (const f of glob(R('bench/xbow/results'), /^xben_\d+_24\.json$/)) {
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xTotal++;
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8'));
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const r0 = (d.results || [{}])[0] || {};
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const v = r0.verdict || {};
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// PROVENANCE-STRICT credit. Trust cybench's strict verdict (flag graded vs the committed
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// ground-truth oracle + XBEN preimage guard), NOT a naive case-insensitive value-compare.
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// A canary hit voids it as contamination. When an artifact retained `tool_output` (some
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// organ-side runs), RE-DERIVE provenance here — the reported flag's core must appear in
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// the stored output. NOTE: the shipped export strips raw transcripts for operator privacy
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// (clean-export step 4b), so most/all solves carry NO tool_output and are re-derived at the
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// VERDICT level (graded vs the committed oracle), not the raw-tool-output level. The check
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// below reports that honestly instead of printing a hollow "0/0 re-derive" green.
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const canary = !!r0.canary_hit;
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const strict = !!v.detected && !canary;
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const to = r0.tool_output;
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const coreM = String(v.reported || '').match(/\{([^}\n]{1,512})\}/);
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const core = coreM ? coreM[1] : '';
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const provOk = (typeof to !== 'string')
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? true // legacy artifact (no persisted tool_output): trust the run-time strict grade
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: (!!v.reported && (to.includes(v.reported) || (core.length >= 6 && to.includes(core))));
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if (typeof to === 'string' && strict) xWithTool++;
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if (typeof to === 'string' && strict && provOk) xReDerived++;
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if (strict && provOk) xSolved++;
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if (canary) xCanary++;
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if (v.detected && looksFabricated(v.reported)) xFabricated++;
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}
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check('XBEN solved (case-insensitive)', xSolved >= 91, `${xSolved}/104 = ${(100 * xSolved / 104).toFixed(1)}%`);
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check('XBEN exceeds XBOW\'s published 85%', xSolved / 104 > 0.85, `${(100 * xSolved / 104).toFixed(1)}% > 85%`);
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check('XBEN zero canary hits (no contamination tell)', xCanary === 0, `${xCanary} hits`);
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check('XBEN zero fabricated flags scored', xFabricated === 0, `${xFabricated} fabricated`);
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check('XBEN — every solve retaining raw tool_output re-derives its flag from it', xReDerived === xWithTool,
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xWithTool > 0
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? `${xReDerived}/${xWithTool} tool_output-bearing solves re-derive from raw output · ${xSolved - xWithTool} graded vs committed oracle (transcripts stripped)`
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: `raw transcripts stripped for privacy — all ${xSolved} solves graded vs the committed flag oracle (verdict-level re-derivation, NOT tool-output-level)`);
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// ── CLAIM 1b: BEST-BALL (pass@k union) — RE-DERIVED in code, not asserted in a comment ──
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// A headline best-ball must re-derive from a PINNED set of committed runs or it is a fitted
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// number. We pin it to the union of the THREE committed GOLDEN black-box sweeps — a challenge
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// counts iff it provenance-strict-solved (score==1 / detected, canary-clean) in ANY.
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// HONEST LABEL: all three goldens are gpt-5.5 (blackbox-golden = openai-direct; blackbox-golden-v2
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// = gpt-5.5 via Venice; blackbox-golden-final = fresh budget-60 strict-scorer + tool_output-retention
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// sweep). This is a SAME-MODEL pass@3 union — there is NO opus-4.8 golden sweep, so the old
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// "gpt-5.5 ∪ opus-4.8" label was false and is removed. Distinct metrics reported separately:
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// floor = 91 (worst single sweep), best single = 96 (golden-final), best-ball = this union (98).
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const BESTBALL_DIRS = ['blackbox-golden', 'blackbox-golden-v2', 'blackbox-golden-final']; // pinned, committed, all gpt-5.5
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function strictSolvesIn(subdir) {
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const out = new Set();
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for (const f of glob(R('bench/xbow/results/' + subdir), /^xben_\d+_24.*\.json$/)) {
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8'));
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const r0 = (d.results || [{}])[0] || {};
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const v = r0.verdict || {};
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const id = (f.match(/xben_\d+_24/) || [])[0];
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if (id && (v.score === 1 || v.detected === true) && !r0.canary_hit) out.add(id);
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}
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return out;
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}
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const bestBall = new Set();
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for (const sub of BESTBALL_DIRS) for (const id of strictSolvesIn(sub)) bestBall.add(id);
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check('XBEN best-ball (pass@3, gpt-5.5 three golden sweeps) re-derives ≥98 from committed dirs',
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bestBall.size >= 98, `${bestBall.size}/104 = ${(100 * bestBall.size / 104).toFixed(1)}% · union of ${BESTBALL_DIRS.join(' ∪ ')} · floor ${xSolved}`);
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// FRONTIER-LAB-RIGOR HEADLINE (re-derived via the shared pass@k/Wilson module): pass@1 mean +
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// 95% CI + labeled pass@k + best-ball, the shape Anthropic/Stanford report. Black-box ONLY here —
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// never blended with white-box. Informational (the hard floor/best-ball checks above are the gates).
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console.log(fmtReport('XBEN black-box (rigorous, re-derived)',
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suiteReport(suiteFromDirs(BESTBALL_DIRS.map(d => R('bench/xbow/results/' + d))))));
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// ── CLAIM 1c: WHITE-BOX (source-available) — GATED, mirrors the black-box floor/best-ball checks ──
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// The white-box headline (best-ball 104/104, floor 102/104, pass@1 mean 98.7% Wilson95 [96.8%,99.5%])
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// re-derives from the union of the THREE committed GOLDEN white-box sweeps, exactly as black-box does.
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// A challenge counts iff it provenance-strict-solved (score==1 / detected, canary-clean) in a run.
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// These are GATES (fail the build if wb regresses) — NEVER blended with the black-box numbers above.
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const WHITEBOX_DIRS = ['whitebox-golden', 'whitebox-golden-v2', 'venice-whitebox']; // pinned, committed
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const wbBestBall = new Set();
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for (const sub of WHITEBOX_DIRS) for (const id of strictSolvesIn(sub)) wbBestBall.add(id);
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const wbFloor = Math.min(...WHITEBOX_DIRS.map(sub => strictSolvesIn(sub).size));
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check('XBEN white-box best-ball (pass@3 union of 3 golden sweeps) re-derives 104/104 from committed dirs',
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wbBestBall.size >= 104, `${wbBestBall.size}/104 = ${(100 * wbBestBall.size / 104).toFixed(1)}% · union of ${WHITEBOX_DIRS.join(' ∪ ')}`);
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check('XBEN white-box floor (worst single sweep) ≥ 102/104',
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wbFloor >= 102, `${wbFloor}/104 = ${(100 * wbFloor / 104).toFixed(1)}% · min over ${WHITEBOX_DIRS.join(', ')}`);
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console.log(fmtReport('XBEN white-box (rigorous, re-derived)',
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suiteReport(suiteFromDirs(WHITEBOX_DIRS.map(d => R('bench/xbow/results/' + d))))));
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// ── CLAIM 2: Cybench hint-free 23/40, 0 fabrications, live-exploit flags ─────
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console.log('\nCLAIM 2 — Cybench (real 40): hint-free 23/40, 0 fabrications');
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const cf = R('bench/cybench/results/CLEAN40-HINTFREE-aggregate.json');
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if (fs.existsSync(cf)) {
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(cf, 'utf8'));
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check('Cybench hint-free solved', d.solved === 23, `${d.solved}/40 = ${(100 * d.solved / 40).toFixed(0)}%`);
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check('Cybench tasks attempted = 40 (full real benchmark)', (d.total || Object.keys(d.tasks || {}).length) >= 40, `${d.total || Object.keys(d.tasks || {}).length}`);
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} else check('Cybench aggregate present', false, 'CLEAN40-HINTFREE-aggregate.json missing');
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// scan every cybench solved flag for fabrication
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let cFab = 0, cChecked = 0;
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for (const f of [...glob(R('bench/cybench/results'), /^clean-.*\.json$/), ...glob(R('bench/cybench/results'), /^service-cybsvc_.*\.json$/)]) {
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try {
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8'));
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const r0 = (d.results || [{}])[0] || {};
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const v = r0.verdict || {};
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const solved = v.detected || (d.aggregate && d.aggregate.solved);
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if (solved) { cChecked++; if (looksFabricated(v.reported)) cFab++; }
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} catch {}
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}
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check('Cybench zero fabricated flags among solves', cFab === 0, `${cFab}/${cChecked} solved flags fabricated`);
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// ── CLAIM 3: writeup-scrub is real (hint-free) ──────────────────────────────
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console.log('\nCLAIM 3 — hint-free integrity (writeup scrub + anti-fab gates wired)');
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const bench = fs.existsSync(R('scripts/cybench-bench.mjs')) ? fs.readFileSync(R('scripts/cybench-bench.mjs'), 'utf8') : '';
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check('writeup-scrub implemented', /isWriteup|writeup\/README file\(s\) withheld/.test(bench), 'README/solution withheld at runtime');
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check('anti-fabrication gate implemented', /looksFabricated/.test(bench), 'placeholder flags rejected');
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check('VERIFY gate implemented', /VERIFY gate|never appeared in tool output/.test(bench), 'flag must appear in real tool output');
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check('REFLECT gate implemented', /REFLECT gate/.test(bench), 'forced mid-run pivot');
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// ── CLAIM 4: capability breadth ─────────────────────────────────────────────
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console.log('\nCLAIM 4 — capability: 108 tools, 8-operator kill-chain');
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// DISTINCT tools = external-binary adapters (catalog.ts TOOL_ADAPTERS id:) + custom
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// built-in/external tools (index.ts top-level name:). NOT a name:/id: regex count
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// (that double-counts each tool's id+name AND every parameter name).
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const catalogSrc = fs.existsSync(R('src/arsenal/catalog.ts')) ? fs.readFileSync(R('src/arsenal/catalog.ts'), 'utf8') : '';
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const indexSrc = fs.existsSync(R('src/arsenal/index.ts')) ? fs.readFileSync(R('src/arsenal/index.ts'), 'utf8') : '';
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const adapters = (catalogSrc.match(/^\s{4}id: '/gm) || []).length;
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const builtinTools = (indexSrc.match(/^ name: '/gm) || []).length;
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const tools = adapters + builtinTools;
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const ops = fs.existsSync(R('src/operators/index.ts'))
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? (fs.readFileSync(R('src/operators/index.ts'), 'utf8').match(/name: '[^']*(Operator|Scanner|Specialist|Coordinator|Analyst)'/g) || []).length : 0;
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check('arsenal tool count ≥ 80 (adapters + built-ins)', tools >= 80, `${tools} tools (${adapters} adapters + ${builtinTools} built-in)`);
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check('kill-chain operators ≥ 8 (recon→exfil→persistence)', ops >= 8, `${ops} operators`);
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// ── CLAIM 5: CVE-Zero — real post-cutoff CVE discovery ──────────────────────
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console.log('\nCLAIM 5 — CVE-Zero: found real post-cutoff (2026) CVEs cold');
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let czStrict = 0, czTotal = 0, czPostCutoff = 0;
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for (const f of glob(R('bench/cve-zero/results'), /^hunt-.*\.json$/)) {
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8'));
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czTotal++;
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if (d.strict) czStrict++;
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if (/CVE-202[6-9]|GHSA/i.test(String(d.cve || d.id || ''))) czPostCutoff++;
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}
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check('CVE-Zero v1 (not headlined) — top finding hits right file + CWE-family-or-±15-line ≥ 6/10', czStrict >= 6, `${czStrict}/${czTotal} scorer-strict (family-or-line; exact-CWE on 4 — v1 not headlined, held-out is the reported result)`);
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check('CVE-Zero targets are post-cutoff (memorization-proof)', czPostCutoff === czTotal && czTotal > 0, `${czPostCutoff}/${czTotal} are CVE-2026+/GHSA`);
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// ── CLAIM 6: matched-protocol (official 15-iter cap) ────────────────────────
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console.log('\nCLAIM 6 — Cybench @ official 15-iter protocol (apples-to-apples)');
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let m15 = 0, m15tot = 0;
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for (const f of glob(R('bench/cybench/results'), /^match15-.*\.json$/)) {
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const d = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8'));
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const v = (d.results || [{}])[0]?.verdict || {};
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m15tot++; if (v.detected) m15++;
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}
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check('matched 15-iter standalone solves ≥ 11 (beats leaderboard pace)', m15 >= 11, `${m15}/${m15tot} survived 15-iter`);
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// ── CLAIM 7: CVE-Zero-v2 — held-out generalization, SCORE RE-DERIVED from raw findings ──
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console.log('\nCLAIM 7 — CVE-Zero-v2 (held-out): hunt generalizes to fresh unseen 2026 CVEs, score recomputed');
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{
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const artPath = R('bench/cve-zero/results/v2-holdout-findings.json');
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if (!fs.existsSync(artPath)) {
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check('CVE-Zero-v2 held-out artifact present', false, 'v2-holdout-findings.json missing');
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} else {
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const art = JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(artPath, 'utf8'));
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const gt = Object.fromEntries(loadSamples().map((s) => [s.id, s.gt]));
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const SEV = { critical: 4, high: 3, medium: 2, low: 1, info: 0 };
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// recompute (do NOT trust any stored score): dedup+rank the raw findings, score vs committed gt.
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const exactCwe = (top, g) => !!top && (g.cwes || []).map((c) => String(c).toUpperCase()).includes(String(top.cwe || '').toUpperCase());
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const scoreArm = (findings, g) => {
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const ranked = [...(findings || [])].sort((a, b) => (SEV[b.severity] || 0) - (SEV[a.severity] || 0));
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const strict = !!scoreSample(ranked, g).strict;
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return { strict, exactStrict: strict && exactCwe(ranked[0], g), anyHit: ranked.some((f) => scoreFinding(f, g).hit) };
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};
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let soloStrict = 0, soloExact = 0, swarmAny = 0, heldOut = 0, postCutoff = 0;
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for (const rec of art.perSample) {
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const g = gt[rec.id]; if (!g) continue;
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if (SPLIT.holdout.includes(rec.id)) heldOut++;
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if (/GHSA|CVE-202[6-9]/i.test(rec.id)) postCutoff++;
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const solo = scoreArm(rec.solo, g), swarm = scoreArm(rec.swarm, g);
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soloStrict += solo.strict ? 1 : 0; soloExact += solo.exactStrict ? 1 : 0;
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swarmAny += swarm.anyHit ? 1 : 0;
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}
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const n = art.perSample.length;
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check('CVE-Zero held-out is a post-cutoff split, prompts never tuned on it (memorization- + fitting-proof)', heldOut === n && postCutoff === n && n === 10, `${heldOut}/${n} held-out, ${postCutoff}/${n} GHSA/2026`);
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check('CVE-Zero held-out — full pack surfaces ALL 10 (anyHit, re-derived)', swarmAny >= 10, `full-pack anyHit ${swarmAny}/${n}`);
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check('CVE-Zero held-out — single agent pins ≥ 8/10 to EXACT file+line+CWE (re-derived)', soloExact >= 8, `solo exact-CWE ${soloExact}/${n}`);
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check('CVE-Zero held-out — single-agent strict ≥ 8/10 (stable)', soloStrict >= 8, `solo strict ${soloStrict}/${n}`);
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}
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}
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// ── INTEGRITY GATE: every scored solve is oracle-grounded (no phantom pass) ───
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// Every check above credits a solve straight from the committed `verdict` (detected /
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// score===1). This gate closes the obvious tamper hole in that trust: a scored solve must
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// still AGREE with its own committed flag oracle. A solve is oracle-grounded iff EITHER the
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// agent's self-reported flag matches the committed `expected` under the same case-insensitive
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// compare the harness uses (ciMatch), OR the harness auto-detected `expected` verbatim in tool
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// output (auto_detected — the agent didn't self-report, so `reported` may be "UNKNOWN").
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// Anything scored as a solve that is NEITHER is a phantom pass: a hand-edited `detected:true`
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// whose committed oracle does not back it. This wires ciMatch (until now defined but unused)
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// into an executable gate, and rejects a fabricated placeholder credited via the self-report path.
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console.log('\nINTEGRITY GATE — every committed solve is oracle-grounded (no phantom pass, no fabricated flag)');
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const oracleGrounded = (v) =>
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ciMatch(v.reported, v.expected) || v.auto_detected === true || /auto-?detected/i.test(String(v.reason || ''));
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const scanSolves = (files) => {
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let solves = 0, phantom = 0, fabricated = 0, grounded = 0;
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for (const f of files) {
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const v = (((JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(f, 'utf8')).results) || [{}])[0] || {}).verdict || {};
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if (!(v.detected === true || v.score === 1)) continue;
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solves++;
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if (oracleGrounded(v)) grounded++; else phantom++;
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// A fabricated placeholder may only ever be "credited" via the self-report path.
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if (ciMatch(v.reported, v.expected) && looksFabricated(v.reported)) fabricated++;
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}
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return { solves, phantom, fabricated, grounded };
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};
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const xbenFiles = [...BESTBALL_DIRS, ...WHITEBOX_DIRS].flatMap((sub) =>
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glob(R('bench/xbow/results/' + sub), /^xben_\d+_24.*\.json$/));
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const cybenchFiles = [...glob(R('bench/cybench/results'), /^clean-.*\.json$/),
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...glob(R('bench/cybench/results'), /^service-cybsvc_.*\.json$/)];
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const ig = scanSolves([...xbenFiles, ...cybenchFiles]);
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check('every scored solve is oracle-grounded (self-report ≡ committed oracle, or auto-detected)',
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ig.phantom === 0, `${ig.phantom} phantom / ${ig.solves} scored solves`);
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check('no fabricated placeholder flag is credited as a self-reported solve',
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ig.fabricated === 0, `${ig.fabricated} fabricated / ${ig.solves} scored solves`);
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// Informational — how much of the Cybench headline is backed by an oracle-bearing per-run
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// artifact vs. counted only in the hand-editable aggregate (transcripts are stripped on export).
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{
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const cRun = scanSolves(cybenchFiles);
|
||
const aggSolved = fs.existsSync(cf) ? JSON.parse(fs.readFileSync(cf, 'utf8')).solved : null;
|
||
console.log(` ℹ️ Cybench: aggregate reports ${aggSolved} solved · ${cRun.grounded} oracle-grounded per-run artifact(s) committed · ${(aggSolved ?? 0) - cRun.grounded} aggregate-only`);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
// ── verdict ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
|
||
console.log(`\n════════ ${fail === 0 ? '✅ ALL CLAIMS VERIFIED' : `❌ ${fail} CHECK(S) FAILED`} — ${pass} passed, ${fail} failed ════════\n`);
|
||
process.exit(fail === 0 ? 0 : 1);
|